Andrew Harnik / AP

The Congressional Budget Office has scored the recent repeal-then-replace bill, predicting 17 million more Americans would be uninsured by 2018 and 32 million more uninsured by 2026, compared to current law. The Senate is expected to vote on the plan next week.

Context: This score was similar on the repeal bill that passed both the House and the Senate in 2015, but which Barack Obama vetoed. There's no reason for lawmakers to be surprised by the dramatic coverage losses. Other projections from the report:

  • Average premiums would increase by about 25%, and about double by 2026.
  • It would decrease deficits by $473 billion over 10 years.
  • Three in four Americans wouldn't be able to buy a health care plan in 10 years.

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"Hamilton" is a streaming hit for Disney+

Data: Google Trends; Chart: Andrew Witherspoon/Axios

The debut of "Hamilton" on Disney+ last Friday sent downloads of the app soaring over the weekend.

Why it matters: With theaters closed until 2021, "Hamilton" is the biggest litmus test for whether Broadway will ever be able to successfully transition some of its iconic hits.

Wall Street is no longer betting on Trump

Illustration: Sarah Grillo/Axios

Betting markets have turned decisively toward an expected victory for Joe Biden in November — and asset managers at major investment banks are preparing for not only a Biden win, but potentially a Democratic sweep of the Senate and House too.

Why it matters: Wall Street had its chips on a Trump win until recently — even in the midst of the coronavirus-induced recession and Biden's rise in the polls.

With new security law, China outlaws global activism

Illustration: Eniola Odetunde/Axios

The draconian security law that Beijing forced upon Hong Kong last week contains an article making it illegal for anyone in the world to promote democratic reform for Hong Kong.

Why it matters: China has long sought to crush organized dissent abroad through quiet threats and coercion. Now it has codified that practice into law — potentially forcing people and companies around the world to choose between speaking freely and ever stepping foot in Hong Kong again.