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Can Trump and Schumer really make a health care deal?

Trump in the Rose Garden after the House passed a health care plan in May. Photo: Evan Vucci / AP

So what to make of Trump's next turn on health care? Axios scooped on Friday night that Trump had called Democratic Senate Leader Chuck Schumer to see whether they could cut a deal. Now Trump and Schumer are giving their versions of the call.

Here's our best forecast of where this conversation is headed and why it's likely to explode politically: