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Photo: Jae C. Hong / AP

By 2018, with an estimated 10% annual rate increase, the average family of three would have to make $29,000 more per year for the cheapest Affordable Care Act plan to be deemed "affordable" by the law's definition, according to a recent study by eHealth, a private online health insurance exchange.

Why it matters: President Trump has threatened to "let Obamacare implode" in the face of the failure of several repeal and replace efforts by Republican lawmakers, and these hikes would affect a large portion of the middle and working class of Trump's base. He has also threatened to stop paying the law's cost-sharing subsidies to insurance companies, which would make premiums shoot up even more.

Definition of affordable: When the annual premiums of the cheapest plan under the ACA are more than 8.16% of a household's income, it is considered unaffordable and families can be exempted from the individual mandate.

How the study worked: eHealth reviewed the cheapest 2017 plans available for families of three with two 35-year-old adults and one child from a total of 50 cities, including New York City, Chicago, San Francisco, D.C. and Miami. Of the cities studied, only in Detroit, Albuquerque and Pittsburgh was the plan considered "affordable."

Go deeper

The Mischief Makers

Illustration: Sarah Grillo/Axios

Several Republican and Democratic lawmakers are emerging as troublemakers within their parties and political thorns for their leadership.

Why it matters: We're calling this group "The Mischief Makers" — members who threaten to upend party unity — the theme eclipsing Washington at the moment — and potentially jeopardize the Democrats' or Republicans' position heading into the 2022 midterms.

53 mins ago - Politics & Policy

Obama speechwriter fears Biden unity drive is one-sided

Cody Keenan (right) is shown heading to Marine One in December 2009. Photo: Mandel Ngan/AFP via Getty Images

President Obama's former speechwriter says he's "preemptively frustrated" with President Biden's effort to find unity with Republicans.

What they're saying: Cody Keenan told Axios that Biden's messaging team has "struck all the right chords," but at some point "they're gonna have to answer questions like, 'Why didn't you achieve unity?' when there's an entire political party that's already acting to stop it."

Scoop: Conservative group puts $700k behind Hawley

Sen. Josh Hawley explains his objection to certifying the 2020 election results hours after the U.S. Capitol siege. Photo: Congress.gov via Getty Images

A Republican group is raising and spending huge amounts of money defending Sen. Josh Hawley after he was ostracized for early January’s attack on the U.S. Capitol.

Why it matters: The Senate Conservatives Fund is plugging Hawley's ideological bona fides and backfilling lost corporate cash with needed political and financial support, helping inoculate him as he weighs reelection or a possible presidential campaign in 2024.