Stories by Alexi McCammond

28 Democrats raised three times as much as their GOP challengers

Lucy McBath, Democratic candidate in Georgia. Photo: Dia Dipasupil/Getty Images for Vanity Fai

Between July and September, Democrats running in 28 competitive House races raised over three times as much money as their Republican challengers, per CNN's Fredreka Schouten and David Wright. These Democrats raised a collective $69.6 million compared to the GOP's $21.4 million.

Why it matters: This follows the trend we've been tracking all cycle long — the Democratic base is fired up and donating to candidates and committees in record numbers.

The history statistic that could give hope to Senate Democrats

GOP Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell. Photo: Chip Somodevilla/Getty Images

Since 1982, Republican incumbents have been defeated at twice the rate of Democrats in over 600 Senate races, according to research by Nicholas Goedert, political science professor at Virginia Tech.

Why it matters: This new analysis on incumbent resiliency could give hope to Democrats, who are defending 10 Senate seats in states Trump won this cycle. But more research needs to be done to figure out the nuanced reasons why this pattern has happened.

Warning sign for GOP: Tax cuts are increasingly unpopular

Photo: Cheriss May/NurPhoto via Getty Images

There is now a 12-point gap in support for the GOP tax law, according to a new pre-election poll conducted by Greenberg Research and Democracy Corps for the American Federation of Teachers.

The big picture: It's another alarm bell that Republicans may not be able to win the midterm elections on what they hoped would be their signature legislation of this Congress. In September, a Republican National Committee survey showed more than 60% of voters believe the GOP tax law benefits "large corporations and rich Americans" over "middle class families."