Photo: Carolyn Kaster / AP

After several months of reaching record lows in approval, new polls are showing President Trump's ratings beginning to climb upwards, according to Politico.

  • Politico/Morning Consult: 39% last month vs. 43% this week
  • Gallup: 35% last month vs. 38% last week
  • RealClearPolitics average: 37.4% August 14 vs. 39.9% September 20

How it happened: Politico reports Trump's responses to hurricanes Irma and Harvey helped raise his approval rating, after they dropped to a low of 39% over his controversial reaction to the violent Charlottesville protests. Also, while his decision to end DACA was unpopular, he gained momentum from his negotiation with Sen. Chuck Schumer and Rep. Nancy Pelosi. But, his "popularity still remains historically low for a first-year president."

Other findings: Trump's upward trend over the past month is bigger with independents (+5%) than Republicans or Democrats (both +2%).

Go deeper

The apocalypse scenario

Illustration: Aïda Amer/Axios

Democratic lawyers are preparing to challenge any effort by President Trump to swap electors chosen by voters with electors selected by Republican-controlled legislatures. One state of particular concern: Pennsylvania, where the GOP controls the state house.

Why it matters: Trump's refusal to commit to a peaceful transfer of power, together with a widely circulated article in The Atlantic about how bad the worst-case scenarios could get, is drawing new attention to the brutal fights that could jeopardize a final outcome.

Federal judge rules Trump administration can't end census early

Census workers outside Lincoln Center in New York. Photo: Noam Galai/Getty Images

A federal judge ruled late Thursday that the Trump administration could not end the 2020 census a month early.

Why it matters: The decision states that an early end — on Sept. 30, instead of Oct. 31 — would likely produce inaccuracies and thus impact political representation and government funding around the country.

Caitlin Owens, author of Vitals
2 hours ago - Health

Where bringing students back to school is most risky

Data: Coders Against COVID; Note: Rhode Island and Puerto Rico did not meet minimum testing thresholds for analysis. Values may not add to 100% due to rounding; Cartogram: Andrew Witherspoon/Axios

Schools in Southern and Midwestern states are most at risk of coronavirus transmission, according to an analysis by Coders Against COVID that uses risk indicators developed by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.

The big picture: Thankfully, schools have not yet become coronavirus hotspots, the Washington Post reported this week, and rates of infection are lower than in the surrounding communities. But that doesn't mean schools are in the clear, especially heading into winter.

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