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There have been a lot of recent signals that some quiet Trumpcare negotiations are still going on, but what do they really add up to? My best read, from talking to GOP sources over the weekend: Don't bet on a Trumpcare comeback just yet, but don't be shocked if it happens.

  • Republicans, including Freedom Caucus members, would really like to get an agreement this week that revives the whole thing. That's why they've kept talking in recent days, and why Trump went golfing yesterday with conservative holdout Rand Paul.
  • No one's actually sure if it's possible.
  • Most Republicans on the Hill aren't as optimistic as Trump, who tweeted yesterday that "love and strength" will revive Trumpcare, and Pence, who declared on Saturday that "it ain't over yet."
  • But the Freedom Caucus has narrowed its demands: Rather than stripping out all of the Obamacare regulations, it now wants to get rid of the "essential health benefits" and the "community rating" rule that prevents insurers from charging higher rates to sick people. (That combination would cause its own problems, as Vox's Sarah Kliff points out.)
  • If Republicans do manage to get a deal this week, I'm told, they wouldn't vote on it. They'd just take it home to their constituents over the spring recess — which they'd much prefer to going home empty-handed.
  • But Trump is still keeping the pressure on the Freedom Caucus just in case, telling the Financial Times that if he has to cut a health care deal with the Democrats, "the Freedom Caucus loses so big and I hate to see that."

Bottom line: This is the part of the zombie movie where the townsfolk reassure the kids that everything's fine, but they also start moving everyone to the basement just in case.

Go deeper

Off the Rails

Episode 7: Trump turns on Pence

Photo illustration: Eniola Odetunde/Axios. Photos: Elijah Nouvelage, Alex Wong/Getty Images

Beginning on election night 2020 and continuing through his final days in office, Donald Trump unraveled and dragged America with him, to the point that his followers sacked the U.S. Capitol with two weeks left in his term. Axios takes you inside the collapse of a president with a special series.

Episode 7: Trump turns on Pence. Trump believes the vice president can solve all his problems by simply refusing to certify the Electoral College results. It's a simple test of loyalty: Trump or the U.S. Constitution.

"The end is coming, Donald."

The male voice in the TV ad boomed through the White House residence during "Fox & Friends" commercial breaks. Over and over and over. "The end is coming, Donald. ... On Jan. 6, Mike Pence will put the nail in your political coffin."

Big Tech's post-riot reckoning

Photo illustration: Sarah Grillo/Axios. Photo: Tasos Katopodis/Getty Images

The Capitol insurrection means the anti-tech talk in Washington is more likely to lead to action, since it's ever clearer that the attack was planned, at least in part, on social media.

Why it matters: The big platforms may have hoped they'd move to D.C.'s back burner, with the Hill focused on the Biden agenda and the pandemic out of control. But now, there'll be no escaping harsh scrutiny.

39 mins ago - Technology

Why domestic terrorists are so hard to police online

Illustration: Eniola Odetunde/Axios

Domestic terrorism has proven to be more difficult for Big Tech companies to police online than foreign terrorism.

The big picture: That's largely because the politics are harder. There's more unity around the need to go after foreign extremists than domestic ones — and less danger of overreaching and provoking a backlash.