Updated Mar 18, 2023 - Politics & Policy

Trump predicts he’ll be arrested Tuesday, calls for protests

Former US President Donald Trump arrives on stage.

Former President Donald Trump on stage in Iowa. Photo: Kamil Krzaczynski/AFP via Getty Images

Former President Trump said in Truth Social posts Saturday morning he believes he will be arrested on Tuesday amid a Manhattan district attorney's investigation into a hush money payment to adult film star Stormy Daniels.

Why it matters: Trump would be the first sitting or former president in U.S. history to face criminal charges.

Driving the news: "The far [and] away leading Republican candidate [and] former president of the United States of America will be arrested on Tuesday of next week," he wrote, citing "illegal leaks" from the Manhattan District Attorney's Office.

A Trump spokesperson said in a statement to Axios:

  • "There has been no notification, other than illegal leaks from the Justice Dept. and the DA’s office, to ... fake news carriers, that the ... Democrat prosecutor in Manhattan has decided to take his Witch-Hunt to the next level.“
  • "President Trump is rightfully highlighting his innocence and the weaponization of our injustice system. He will be in Texas next weekend for a giant rally."

Trump's lawyer, Joseph Tacopina, told CNBC on Friday that the former president will surrender to face criminal charges, should he be indicted.

  • “Will follow normal procedures if it gets to that point,” Tacopina told CNBC.

Worth noting: Trump, who has 24-hour protection from the Secret Service, is currently living at his Mar-a-Lago estate in Florida.

Background: A grand jury in Manhattan could indict Trump for his alleged role in the hush money paid to Daniels before the 2016 presidential election. Daniels claims she had an affair with the former president, which Trump has denied.

Legal experts have raised questions about the strength of Manhattan District Attorney Alvin Bragg's case against Trump, saying the district attorney will face several hurdles, per The Washington Post.

  • If felony charges are sought against Trump, Bragg would likely have to prove that Trump falsified business records to cover up Cohen's campaign finance violations, Axios' Zachary Basu writes.

The big picture: The grand jury in Manhattan could turn the 2024 campaign on its head by indicting Trump.

  • Trump would likely play the victim and vengeance card for 2024, which are already major themes of his campaign, Basu writes. The former president has already identified any and all investigations as "witch hunts."
  • But, there's no precedent for what's about to happen, leaving the United States political system in uncharted waters.

Go deeper: Looming Trump charges threaten to inject chaos into 2024 campaign

Timeline: The probe into Trump's alleged hush money payments to Stormy Daniels

Editor's note: This story has been updated with additional details throughout

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