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Up to 2.7 million people could gain access to Medicaid as a result of next week's elections, according to new estimates from Avalere Health.

The big picture: Medicaid expansion is on the ballot in 3 states: Idaho, Nebraska and Utah. And some large non-expansion states, namely Florida and Georgia, have competitive governors' races.

  • If Democrats win those races and make gains in state legislatures at the same time, then Medicaid expansion could become a real option in those states. And some gubernatorial candidates, including Stacey Abrams in Georgia, have made Medicaid expansion a top campaign priority.

Flashback: If you're a subscriber to my health care newsletter Vitals, you'll know I've been hammering away at this point for over a year. The governors' races are the main event in the midterms and you'll never convince me otherwise.

Go deeper

Mike Allen, author of AM
17 mins ago - Politics & Policy

Why Trump may still fire Barr

Photo: Jabin Botsford/The Washington Post via Getty Images

Attorney General Barr may be fired or resign, as President Trump seethes about Barr's statement this week that no widespread voter fraud has been found.

Behind the scenes: A source familiar with the president's thinking tells Axios that Trump remains frustrated with what he sees as the lack of a vigorous investigation into his election conspiracy theories.

Mike Allen, author of AM
17 mins ago - World

Scoop: Trump's spy chief plans dire China warning

Xi Jinping reviews troops during a military parade in Beijing last year. Photo: Thomas Peter/Reuters

Director of National Intelligence John Ratcliffe on Thursday will publicly warn that China's threat to the U.S. is a defining issue of our time, a senior administration official tells Axios.

Why it matters: It's exceedingly rare for the head of the U.S. intelligence community to make public accusations about a rival power.

Ina Fried, author of Login
37 mins ago - Technology

Tech's race problem is all about power

Illustration: Eniola Odetunde/Axios

As problematic as the tech industry's diversity statistics are, activists say the focus on those numbers overlooks a more fundamental problem — one less about numbers than about power.

What they're saying: In tech, they argue, decision-making power remains largely concentrated in the hands of white men. The result is an industry whose products and working conditions belie the industry rhetoric about changing the world for the better.